Auston Matthews vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+20.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 98.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 98.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 98.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 98.5%
98.5%
1.5%
Matthews
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
5
(24 meetings)
19
5
Matthews
Buchnevich
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
2
Matthews
Buchnevich
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Buchnevich
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
2
Matthews
Buchnevich
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
33.7% (895)
+20.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
44.2% (52)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
24.3% (37)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Matthews
Buchnevich
Home
56.3% (5,065)
34.7% (490)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Matthews
Buchnevich
P1
55.5%
34.4%
P2
53.3%
33.7%
P3
52.8%
33.4%
OT
56.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |