Auston Matthews vs Pavel Buchnevich
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+22.5%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 65.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Matthews
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
28.6% (192)
+24.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
55.6% (9)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
30.8% (13)
+44.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Matthews
Buchnevich
Home
54.8% (515)
30.4% (112)
Away
50.2% (534)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Matthews
Buchnevich
P1
54.4%
27.7%
P2
50.4%
33.3%
P3
51.8%
27.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%