Auston Matthews vs Pavel Buchnevich
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 55.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Matthews
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
37.6% (197)
+15.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (6)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
0.0% (3)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Matthews
Buchnevich
Home
56.5% (703)
43.0% (114)
Away
50.0% (616)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Matthews
Buchnevich
P1
52.1%
40.0%
P2
54.0%
35.7%
P3
54.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%