Auston Matthews vs Pavel Buchnevich
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+22.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 74.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 81.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Matthews
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
36.7% (30)
+19.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Matthews
Buchnevich
Home
60.7% (572)
31.3% (16)
Away
52.4% (657)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Matthews
Buchnevich
P1
60.3%
35.7%
P2
55.6%
33.3%
P3
53.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |