Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Krebs 40.7% (+20.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 83.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 88.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Matthews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Matthews
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
33.3% (159)
+23.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
61.5% (13)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krebs
Home
60.7% (572)
37.0% (81)
Away
52.4% (657)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Matthews
Krebs
P1
60.3%
39.0%
P2
55.6%
32.8%
P3
53.3%
33.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |