Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 73.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 65.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Matthews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Matthews
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Matthews
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
45.5% (501)
+7.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (20)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
37.1% (35)
+37.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krebs
Home
54.8% (515)
43.9% (285)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Matthews
Krebs
P1
54.4%
45.4%
P2
50.4%
50.9%
P3
51.8%
39.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |