Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Krebs 46.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Matthews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.2% (542)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
54.2% (24)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
31.3% (48)
+10.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krebs
Home
56.5% (703)
45.5% (312)
Away
50.0% (616)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Matthews
Krebs
P1
52.1%
46.6%
P2
54.0%
42.7%
P3
54.0%
48.6%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |