Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Krebs 49.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 50.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 54.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Matthews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
49.5% (560)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
52.6% (38)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
43.3% (67)
+7.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krebs
Home
59.1% (528)
49.4% (314)
Away
55.1% (695)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Matthews
Krebs
P1
56.2%
47.0%
P2
58.1%
50.5%
P3
56.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |