Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Suter 49.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 87.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Matthews
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Matthews
Suter
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Suter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
49.8% (840)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
57.4% (68)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
39.6% (96)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
60.7% (572)
49.8% (502)
Away
52.4% (657)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
60.3%
46.7%
P2
55.6%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
48.9%
OT
45.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |