Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Suter 47.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 74.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 57.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Matthews
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Suter
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Matthews
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Matthews
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.0% (421)
+4.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (4)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
31.3% (32)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
54.8% (515)
48.6% (183)
Away
50.2% (534)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
54.4%
47.1%
P2
50.4%
47.3%
P3
51.8%
46.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Pius Suter |