Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Suter 46.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 85.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Matthews
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Matthews
Suter
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
Suter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
Suter
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Suter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
46.2% (3,208)
+7.8%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.9% (278)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
40.3% (303)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
56.3% (5,065)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
55.5%
46.6%
P2
53.3%
46.0%
P3
52.8%
46.1%
OT
56.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |