Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Suter 49.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 58.1%
Defensive zone
Suter 60.0%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Matthews
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Matthews
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.2% (299)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
58.9% (56)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
54.5% (22)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
56.5% (703)
51.7% (172)
Away
50.0% (616)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
52.1%
48.2%
P2
54.0%
49.3%
P3
54.0%
51.2%
OT
57.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |