Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 90.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 91.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 90.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Matthews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Matthews
Hartman
Last 9: Matthews 9-0 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
44.8% (936)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
49.4% (154)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.3% (54)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hartman
Home
60.7% (572)
47.4% (568)
Away
52.4% (657)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Matthews
Hartman
P1
60.3%
47.2%
P2
55.6%
43.4%
P3
53.3%
43.8%
OT
45.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |