Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Hartman 47.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Matthews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Matthews
Hartman
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
5
Matthews
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.1% (649)
+6.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
47.1% (68)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.2% (73)
-3.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hartman
Home
56.5% (703)
46.5% (361)
Away
50.0% (616)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Matthews
Hartman
P1
52.1%
45.1%
P2
54.0%
44.4%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |