Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Hartman 48.1% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Matthews
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
48.1% (520)
+10.2%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
44.7% (47)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
47.8% (23)
+2.9%
On power play, Matthews has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hartman
Home
59.1% (528)
48.3% (360)
Away
55.1% (695)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Matthews
Hartman
P1
56.2%
48.5%
P2
58.1%
45.2%
P3
56.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%