Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Hartman 44.0% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Matthews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
42.6% (495)
+10.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
38.5% (26)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
48.8% (43)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hartman
Home
54.8% (515)
43.4% (288)
Away
50.2% (534)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Matthews
Hartman
P1
54.4%
43.1%
P2
50.4%
43.4%
P3
51.8%
42.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |