Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Gagner 48.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 88.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Matthews
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Matthews
Gagner
Last 9: Matthews 8-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
47.3% (395)
+7.2%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
50.0% (62)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
50.0% (4)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gagner
Home
59.8% (351)
49.4% (267)
Away
49.0% (337)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Matthews
Gagner
P1
58.0%
47.5%
P2
49.6%
48.5%
P3
55.4%
48.1%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |