Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Gagner 52.4% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 50.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 73.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Matthews
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
76.5% (17)
-23.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
28.6% (7)
+37.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gagner
Home
56.5% (703)
75.0% (16)
Away
50.0% (616)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Matthews
Gagner
P1
52.1%
25.0%
P2
54.0%
64.3%
P3
54.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%