Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Gagner 43.8% (+22.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Matthews
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
31.0% (29)
+21.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
29.4% (17)
+5.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gagner
Home
54.8% (515)
36.8% (19)
Away
50.2% (534)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Matthews
Gagner
P1
54.4%
27.8%
P2
50.4%
15.4%
P3
51.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%