Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+21.6%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 55.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Matthews
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
39.0% (77)
+20.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
35.4% (48)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
40.9% (22)
+15.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Matthews
Reinhart
Home
60.0% (520)
35.7% (84)
Away
59.3% (452)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Matthews
Reinhart
P1
60.2%
42.6%
P2
58.2%
34.7%
P3
60.4%
37.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%