Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +23.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Pinto 44.1% (+23.5%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 61.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 51.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Matthews
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
34.1% (41)
+22.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Pinto is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pinto
Home
60.7% (572)
35.0% (40)
Away
52.4% (657)
25.0% (12)
By Period
Matthews
Pinto
P1
60.3%
29.4%
P2
55.6%
44.4%
P3
53.3%
23.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
32.7%