Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Pinto 50.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 66.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Matthews
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Pinto
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Matthews
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
51.2% (463)
+2.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (14)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
36.8% (19)
+5.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pinto
Home
56.5% (703)
52.2% (205)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Matthews
Pinto
P1
52.1%
48.7%
P2
54.0%
51.8%
P3
54.0%
51.2%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |