Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Pinto 51.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 72.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 60.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Matthews
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthews
Pinto
Last 5: Matthews 3-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Matthews
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
52.5% (825)
+0.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
40.0% (10)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.4% (27)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pinto
Home
54.8% (515)
52.8% (453)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Matthews
Pinto
P1
54.4%
49.0%
P2
50.4%
53.5%
P3
51.8%
53.7%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |