Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Wright 45.8% (+20.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Matthews
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
32.3% (31)
+20.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Matthews
Wright
Home
54.8% (515)
38.5% (13)
Away
50.2% (534)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Matthews
Wright
P1
54.4%
40.0%
P2
50.4%
37.5%
P3
51.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%