Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Wright 50.3% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Wright 53.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Matthews
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
52.6% (76)
+0.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
20.0% (5)
+45.8%
On power play, Matthews has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Matthews
Wright
Home
56.5% (703)
58.5% (41)
Away
50.0% (616)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Matthews
Wright
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
54.0%
46.2%
P3
54.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%