Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 75.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 69.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Matthews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Matthews
Crosby
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
50.8% (1,169)
+5.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
60.2% (261)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Matthews
Crosby
Home
60.7% (572)
53.2% (726)
Away
52.4% (657)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Matthews
Crosby
P1
60.3%
51.3%
P2
55.6%
52.1%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
45.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |