Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Crosby 57.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 67.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Matthews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Matthews
Crosby
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Matthews
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Matthews
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
57.8% (1,437)
-4.4%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
60.9% (381)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
50.0% (54)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Matthews
Crosby
Home
56.5% (703)
59.2% (985)
Away
50.0% (616)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Matthews
Crosby
P1
52.1%
57.3%
P2
54.0%
59.5%
P3
54.0%
58.5%
OT
57.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |