Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.0%). Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Crosby 52.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 55.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Matthews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Matthews
Crosby
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
4
Matthews
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
52.5% (1,443)
+0.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
54.7% (369)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
55.9% (34)
+19.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Matthews
Crosby
Home
54.8% (515)
53.0% (931)
Away
50.2% (534)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Matthews
Crosby
P1
54.4%
50.3%
P2
50.4%
55.4%
P3
51.8%
53.3%
OT
75.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |