Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Stützle 52.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.6%
Neutral zone
Stützle 60.6%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Matthews
Stützle
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
5
Matthews
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.0% (485)
+6.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
55.2% (58)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
56.7% (30)
-0.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
60.0% (520)
52.5% (282)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
60.2%
52.1%
P2
58.2%
56.2%
P3
60.4%
52.0%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |