Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Stützle 40.1% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 66.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
37.3% (458)
+19.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
100.0% (3)
-42.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
50.0% (12)
+0.0%
On power play, Stützle has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
60.7% (572)
42.8% (229)
Away
52.4% (657)
33.6% (244)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
60.3%
41.8%
P2
55.6%
39.0%
P3
53.3%
33.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |