Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Stützle 43.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 60.7%
Defensive zone
Stützle 87.7%
Neutral zone
Stützle 76.2%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Matthews
Stützle
Last 10: Matthews 2-8 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
2
7
Matthews
Stützle
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
42.7% (457)
+10.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
20.0% (5)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
25.0% (24)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
54.8% (515)
43.1% (253)
Away
50.2% (534)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
54.4%
44.9%
P2
50.4%
43.9%
P3
51.8%
35.8%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |