Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Stützle 48.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 67.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 90.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
47.7% (398)
+10.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
50.0% (10)
+5.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
59.1% (528)
53.4% (236)
Away
55.1% (695)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
56.2%
49.1%
P2
58.1%
41.3%
P3
56.4%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |