Auston Matthews vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 62.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Matthews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Matthews
Girgensons
Last 7: Matthews 4-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Matthews
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
46.3% (147)
+7.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
66.7% (3)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
51.1% (47)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Matthews
Girgensons
Home
56.5% (703)
34.2% (79)
Away
50.0% (616)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Matthews
Girgensons
P1
52.1%
56.5%
P2
54.0%
38.1%
P3
54.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
54.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |