Auston Matthews vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 51.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.5%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Matthews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Matthews
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
47.2% (127)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
50.0% (2)
+0.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Matthews
Girgensons
Home
59.1% (528)
50.0% (80)
Away
55.1% (695)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Matthews
Girgensons
P1
56.2%
40.5%
P2
58.1%
54.3%
P3
56.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |