Auston Matthews vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Girgensons leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.6%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 62.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Matthews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Matthews
Girgensons
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Girgensons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Matthews
Girgensons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
3
4
Matthews
Girgensons
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
45.4% (2,700)
+8.6%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
49.1% (175)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
42.2% (481)
+7.6%
On even strength, Matthews has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Matthews
Girgensons
Home
56.3% (5,065)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Matthews
Girgensons
P1
55.5%
45.7%
P2
53.3%
44.1%
P3
52.8%
45.5%
OT
56.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |