Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Mercer 37.5% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 87.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 66.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Goodrow
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Goodrow
Mercer
Last 9: Goodrow 5-4 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
2
Goodrow
Mercer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
2
Goodrow
Mercer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
35.4% (548)
+13.9%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
42.9% (35)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
0.0% (7)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Mercer
Home
50.6% (385)
39.9% (283)
Away
48.0% (356)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Goodrow
Mercer
P1
49.1%
37.7%
P2
46.9%
32.1%
P3
52.3%
37.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |