Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Mercer 45.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 72.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Goodrow
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Goodrow
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
43.2% (148)
+3.6%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
40.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
28.6% (7)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Mercer
Home
44.3% (314)
39.0% (82)
Away
47.7% (279)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Goodrow
Mercer
P1
46.8%
45.5%
P2
44.0%
44.0%
P3
47.1%
36.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |