Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Mercer 46.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 62.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 88.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 69.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Goodrow
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Goodrow
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Goodrow
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
43.6% (241)
+11.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
70.0% (10)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Mercer
Home
57.2% (332)
41.7% (120)
Away
50.3% (292)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Goodrow
Mercer
P1
50.8%
44.6%
P2
59.5%
45.4%
P3
51.8%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |