Barclay Goodrow vs Dawson Mercer

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Barclay Goodrow holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Goodrow 47.8% vs Mercer 41.8% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone Mercer 58.8%
Defensive zone Mercer 52.4%
Neutral zone Mercer 56.6%
Result Dawson Mercer favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Goodrow Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Goodrow
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
38.8% (263)
+0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
35.3% (17)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (10)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +10.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Goodrow is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Goodrow shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Mercer
Home
36.0% (25)
34.7% (144)
Away
54.5% (11)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Goodrow
Mercer
P1
46.2%
32.7%
P2
30.8%
42.7%
P3
50.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
22.2%
39.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%
39.5%
41.7%
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.0%