Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 56.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 57.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 58.1%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Goodrow
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Goodrow
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
56.5% (115)
-7.2%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
100.0% (3)
-35.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
100.0% (2)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
50.6% (385)
54.8% (73)
Away
48.0% (356)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
46.9%
62.5%
P3
52.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |