Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 70.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 54.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Goodrow
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
55.4% (345)
-5.4%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
50.0% (4)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
35.3% (17)
-4.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
40.0% (130)
50.6% (162)
Away
45.9% (122)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
48.8%
61.5%
P2
35.0%
52.8%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%