Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 65.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 66.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 59.6%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Goodrow
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
Kastelic
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Goodrow
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Goodrow
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
53.4% (337)
+2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
100.0% (4)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
75.0% (8)
-30.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
57.2% (332)
56.2% (162)
Away
50.3% (292)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
50.8%
58.2%
P2
59.5%
58.8%
P3
51.8%
45.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |