Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 64.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 57.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Goodrow
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
61.2% (340)
-21.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
83.3% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
56.0% (141)
+4.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
36.0% (25)
60.9% (233)
Away
54.5% (11)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
46.2%
58.6%
P2
30.8%
58.7%
P3
50.0%
63.1%
Final 5 min
22.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |