Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.8%). Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Frost 46.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 72.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Goodrow
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Goodrow
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Goodrow
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
45.6% (833)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
46.0% (100)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
55.6% (18)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Frost
Home
44.3% (314)
47.0% (440)
Away
47.7% (279)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Goodrow
Frost
P1
46.8%
42.5%
P2
44.0%
47.9%
P3
47.1%
46.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |