Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Frost 49.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 86.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 54.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Goodrow
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Goodrow
Frost
Last 8: Goodrow 1-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
5
Goodrow
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Goodrow
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
48.6% (704)
+6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
55.7% (115)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
25.0% (4)
+19.6%
On power play, Frost has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Frost
Home
57.2% (332)
49.9% (399)
Away
50.3% (292)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Goodrow
Frost
P1
50.8%
51.2%
P2
59.5%
53.9%
P3
51.8%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |