Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Frost 51.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 74.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 58.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Goodrow
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Goodrow
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
50.3% (825)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
54.9% (204)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
50.0% (4)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Frost
Home
40.0% (130)
50.7% (489)
Away
45.9% (122)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Goodrow
Frost
P1
48.8%
53.6%
P2
35.0%
47.8%
P3
44.8%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |