Barclay Goodrow vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 68.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Last 8: Goodrow 4-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Goodrow
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
45.5% (1,190)
+10.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.4% (94)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
40.0% (30)
+4.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Home
57.2% (332)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.3% (292)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Goodrow
MacKinnon
P1
50.8%
45.3%
P2
59.5%
48.5%
P3
51.8%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |