Barclay Goodrow vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 75.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Last 10: Goodrow 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
10
Goodrow
MacKinnon
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
4
2
Goodrow
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
4
2
Goodrow
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
46.1% (11,218)
+6.2%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
53.3% (1,412)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
42.8% (502)
+1.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goodrow is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,556).
Goodrow shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Home
51.9% (2,109)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Goodrow
MacKinnon
P1
50.5%
47.4%
P2
49.2%
46.6%
P3
51.3%
46.1%
OT
35.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |