Barclay Goodrow vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 58.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Goodrow
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
50.0% (992)
-10.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.9% (148)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
34.4% (32)
+25.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goodrow is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Goodrow shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Home
36.0% (25)
53.3% (591)
Away
54.5% (11)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Goodrow
MacKinnon
P1
46.2%
49.9%
P2
30.8%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
22.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%