Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.0% vs Aho 52.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 78.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 62.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Goodrow
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Goodrow
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Goodrow
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (165)
52.4% (622)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.7% (28)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (152)
52.4% (42)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Goodrow is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Goodrow shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Aho
Home
48.3% (149)
54.9% (359)
Away
51.4% (175)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Goodrow
Aho
P1
52.6%
51.6%
P2
43.2%
53.3%
P3
53.0%
52.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
50.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |